Professional Prognosticators (Part II)

I decided to go over to ESPN.com and check it out, while I was interested.

Mike Golic- 64 %

Sean Salisbury- 61%

Eric Allen- 61 %

Joe Theismann- 60 %

Mark Schlereth- 60 %

Merril Hoge- 58 %

Ron Jaworski- 57 %

Chris Mortensen- 56 %

I've found that ESPN's guys are slightlymore accurate than HBO's. On average:

ESPN- 60 %

HBO- 57 %


HBO's # is brought down by Costas' poor 49 % average. On a whole, there's about range of 7 percent (excluding Costas). Everybody is just above or below 60 %, with Eric Allen and Dan Marino getting close to 65 %.

Excluding Costas, since he's the only one only two who weren't pro players. ESPN's Chris Mortensen is the other, but his average is fairly decent, although dead last among ESPN's experts:

ESPN- 60 %

HBO- 60 %

ESPN gets a slight edge due to rounding.

I find these results fascinating. No matter how smart the person, it seems impossible to break the 60 % barrier. I'd be happy ending the season at 57 or 58.