Monday, November 01, 2004

One more day

I'll use this space to reiterate my prediction that Sen. John Kerry will win tomorrow's presidential election. Here are a few reasons:

1) Bush is polling at a perilously low number. History shows that the incumbent receives exactly the same amount of votes that he polled at before the election. For instance, Zogby shows Bush at 48, Kerry 47. We can assume that Bush will get somewhere between 47-49 percent of the popular vote. 48 won't be enough to win. Factoring in 2 % for minor candidates, it would be a 50-48-2 JFK. At 49, Bush would be in a fight for his life in the popular vote. Kerry appears to have momentum in swing states. Early polls show Kerry with an 8 percent lead in FL and 11 in IA for EARLY VOTERS. In Florida, 30 % have already voted.

2) 18-29 y/0 voters will come out for Kerry. By 64-35, these voters favor the Senator. If they come out in bigger numbers than in past years, Kerry will win and by a significant margin.

This is it! We have one more day to wait. Make sure every possible Kerry voter gets to the polls between today and 7:00 tomorrow night. If our GOTV efforts live up to the hype, this election won't be close.


Blogger Eric Cioffoletti said...

One more day until that asshole gets booted.

November 1, 2004 at 10:38 PM  

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